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1.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 682, 2023 04 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2291529

ABSTRACT

The majority of disease transmission during the 2014-16 West Africa Ebola epidemic was driven by community-based behaviors that proved difficult to change in a social paradigm of misinformation, denial, and deep-seated distrust of government representatives and institutions. In Liberia, perceptions and beliefs about Ebola during and since the epidemic can provide insights useful to public health strategies aimed at improving community preparedness. In this 2018 study, we conducted nine focus groups with Liberians from three communities who experienced Ebola differently, to evaluate behaviors, attitudes, and trust during and after the epidemic. Focus group participants reported that some behaviors adopted during Ebola have persisted (e.g. handwashing and caretaking practices), while others have reverted (e.g. physical proximity and funeral customs); and reported ongoing distrust of the government and denial of the Ebola epidemic. These findings suggest that a lack of trust in the biomedical paradigm and government health institutions persists in Liberia. Future public health information campaigns may benefit from community engagement addressed at understanding beliefs and sources of trust and mistrust in the community to effect behavior change and improve community-level epidemic preparedness.


Subject(s)
Epidemics , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Humans , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Trust , Liberia/epidemiology , Epidemics/prevention & control , Qualitative Research , Disease Outbreaks
2.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 23(1): 304, 2023 Mar 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2248967

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 has caused significant public health problems globally, with catastrophic impacts on health systems. This study explored the adaptations to health services in Liberia and Merseyside UK at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic (January-May 2020) and their perceived impact on routine service delivery. During this period, transmission routes and treatment pathways were as yet unknown, public fear and health care worker fear was high and death rates among vulnerable hospitalised patients were high. We aimed to identify cross-context lessons for building more resilient health systems during a pandemic response. METHODS: The study employed a cross-sectional qualitative design with a collective case study approach involving simultaneous comparison of COVID-19 response experiences in Liberia and Merseyside. Between June and September 2020, we conducted semi-structured interviews with 66 health system actors purposively selected across different levels of the health system. Participants included national and county decision-makers in Liberia, frontline health workers and regional and hospital decision-makers in Merseyside UK. Data were analysed thematically in NVivo 12 software. RESULTS: There were mixed impacts on routine services in both settings. Major adverse impacts included diminished availability and utilisation of critical health services for socially vulnerable populations, linked with reallocation of health service resources for COVID-19 care, and use of virtual medical consultation in Merseyside. Routine service delivery during the pandemic was hampered by a lack of clear communication, centralised planning, and limited local autonomy. Across both settings, cross-sectoral collaboration, community-based service delivery, virtual consultations, community engagement, culturally sensitive messaging, and local autonomy in response planning facilitated delivery of essential services. CONCLUSION: Our findings can inform response planning to assure optimal delivery of essential routine health services during the early phases of public health emergencies. Pandemic responses should prioritise early preparedness, with investment in the health systems building blocks including staff training and PPE stocks, address both pre-existing and pandemic-related structural barriers to care, inclusive and participatory decision-making, strong community engagement, and effective and sensitive communication. Multisectoral collaboration and inclusive leadership are essential.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics , Liberia/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Health Services , United Kingdom/epidemiology
3.
JAAPA ; 35(10): 56-61, 2022 Oct 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2274850

ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT: In Liberia, the physician assistant (PA) profession began in the mid-1960s. PAs have had a major role in providing access to healthcare for patients, many of whom live in poverty and reside in remote areas where access to physicians may be severely limited. In 1964, representatives from UNICEF selected Agnes N. Dagbe, MS, RN, to be the first director of a new PA program to be developed at the Tubman National Institute of Medical Arts. Dagbe was sent to Russia to learn about their feldsher profession, which served as a significant source of inspiration for the newly emerging PA profession in Liberia. To date, Liberia has faced extreme shortages of physicians, the ravages of two brutal civil wars over a 14-year period (1989-2003), as well as outbreaks of the Ebola and COVID-19 viruses. Now, more than 54 years since the first class graduated, PAs are vital for the delivery of essential healthcare services for the citizens of Liberia.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Physician Assistants , COVID-19/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/therapy , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology
5.
PLoS One ; 17(8): e0271488, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2079697

ABSTRACT

We use data collected from panel phone surveys to document the changes in food security of households in rural Liberia and Malawi during the market disruptions associated with the COVID-19 lockdowns in 2020. We use two distinct empirical approaches in our analysis: (a) an event study around the date of the lockdowns (March to July 2020), and (b) a difference-in-differences analysis comparing the lockdown period in 2020 to the same months in 2021, in order to attempt to control for seasonality. In both countries, market activity was severely disrupted and we observe declines in expenditures. However, we find no evidence of declines in food security.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiology , Communicable Disease Control , Food Security , Food Supply , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Malawi/epidemiology
6.
Lancet Microbe ; 3(7): e533-e542, 2022 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2050136

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Viral load in patients with Ebola virus disease affects case fatality rate and is an important parameter used for diagnostic cutoffs, stratification in randomised controlled trials, and epidemiological studies. However, viral load in Ebola virus disease is currently estimated using numerous different assays and protocols that were not developed or validated for this purpose. Here, our aim was to conduct a laboratory-based re-evaluation of the viral loads of a large cohort of Liberian patients with Ebola virus disease and analyse these data in the broader context of the west Africa epidemic. METHODS: In this retrospective observational study, whole blood samples from patients at the Eternal Love Winning Africa Ebola treatment unit (Monrovia, Liberia) were re-extracted with an optimised protocol and analysed by droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) using a novel semi-strand specific assay to measure viral load. To allow for more direct comparisons, the ddPCR viral loads were also back-calculated to cycle threshold (Ct) values. The new viral load data were then compared with the Ct values from the original diagnostic quantitative RT-PCR (qRT-PCR) testing to identify differing trends and discrepancies. FINDINGS: Between Aug 28 and Dec 18, 2014, 727 whole blood samples from 528 individuals were collected. 463 (64%) were first-draw samples and 409 (56%) were from patients positive for Ebola virus (EBOV), species Zaire ebolavirus. Of the 307 first-draw EBOV-positive samples, 127 (41%) were from survivors and 180 (59%) were from non-survivors; 155 (50%) were women, 145 (47%) were men, and seven (2%) were not recorded, and the mean age was 29·3 (SD 15·0) years for women and 31·8 (SD 14·8) years for men. Survivors had significantly lower mean viral loads at presentation than non-survivors in both the reanalysed dataset (5·61 [95% CI 5·34-5·87] vs 7·19 [6·99-7·38] log10 EBOV RNA copies per mL; p<0·0001) and diagnostic dataset (Ct value 28·72 [27·97-29·47] vs 26·26 [25·72-26·81]; p<0·0001). However, the prognostic capacity of viral load increased with the reanalysed dataset (odds ratio [OR] of death 8·06 [95% CI 4·81-13·53], p<0·0001 for viral loads above 6·71 log10 EBOV RNA copies per mL vs OR of death 2·02 [1·27-3·20], p=0·0028 for Ct values below 27·37). Diagnostic qRT-PCR significantly (p<0·0001) underestimated viral load in both survivors and non-survivors (difference in diagnostic Ct value minus laboratory Ct value of 1·79 [95% CI 1·16-2·43] for survivors and 5·15 [4·43-5·87] for non-survivors). Six samples that were reported negative by diagnostic testing were found to be positive upon reanalysis and had high viral loads. INTERPRETATION: Inaccurate viral load estimation from diagnostic Ct values is probably multifactorial; however, unaddressed PCR inhibition from tissue damage in patients with fulminant Ebola virus disease could largely account for the discrepancies observed in our study. Testing protocols for Ebola virus disease require further standardisation and validation to produce accurate viral load estimates, minimise false negatives, and allow for reliable epidemiological investigation. FUNDING: Intramural Research Program of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health.


Subject(s)
Ebolavirus , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Adult , Ebolavirus/genetics , Female , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/diagnosis , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Male , RNA , Viral Load
7.
Int J Infect Dis ; 122: 767-774, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2036065

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Liberia is endemic to Lassa fever (LF) and has the largest reported per capita incidence of LF patients in the West African region. Cases of the disease increased unprecedentedly in 2019 and 2020, characterized by a geographical drift in epidemiology and seasonal variation of occurrence. This study aims to describe the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of LF in Liberia from 2019 to 2020. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on cases of LF confirmed at the National Public Health Reference Laboratory from January 2019 to December 2020. Medical records were reviewed, and epidemiological and clinical data were collected in an organized manner. Descriptive and inferential statistics were carried out using Epi Info (version 7.2.5.0). RESULTS: A total of 382 suspected LF cases were reported, of which 103 were laboratory-confirmed, yielding a case positivity rate of 27% (103/382). The median age of the LF cases was 20 (IQR: 9-30). Children younger than 18 years accounted for 40.8% (42/103) of the cases and healthcare workers' cases constituted 7.7% of the cases. Bong, Nimba, and Grand Bass accounted for 87.4% of the cases with cases in new counties like Lofa, Margibi, and Grand Kru. Hemorrhage (aOR:10.2; 95% CI: 3.11-33.81), patients who did not receive ribavirin (aOR: 4.4; 95% CI: 1.12-17.57, P = 0.034), and patients aged 40 years or older (aOR: 6.2; 95% CI: 1.19-32.53, P = 0.049) were associated with LF mortality. CONCLUSION: The LF cases in 2019 and 2020 had a high case fatality rate and spread to new counties that had not previously reported LF. The disease occurred during most of the rainy season instead of the usual dry season. There is an urgent need to lower morbidity and mortality, improve early presentation to the hospital, and early initiation of appropriate medical care.


Subject(s)
Lassa Fever , Child , Humans , Lassa Fever/epidemiology , Lassa virus , Liberia/epidemiology , Public Health , Retrospective Studies , Ribavirin
8.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 22(8): 1163-1171, 2022 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1972392

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Whether or not individuals with pauci-symptomatic or asymptomatic Ebola virus infection and unrecognised Ebola virus disease develop clinical sequelae is unknown. We assessed current symptoms and physical examination findings among individuals with pauci-symptomatic or asymptomatic infection and unrecognised Ebola virus disease compared with Ebola virus disease survivors and uninfected contacts. METHODS: Between June 17, 2015, and June 30, 2017, we studied a cohort of Ebola virus disease survivors and their contacts in Liberia. Surveys, current symptoms and physical examination findings, and serology were used to characterise disease status of reported Ebola virus disease, unrecognised Ebola virus disease, pauci-symptomatic or asymptomatic Ebola virus infection, or no infection. We pre-specified findings known to be differentially prevalent among Ebola virus disease survivors versus their contacts (urinary frequency, headache, fatigue, muscle pain, memory loss, joint pain, neurological findings, chest findings, muscle findings, joint findings, abdominal findings, and uveitis). We estimated the prevalence and incidence of selected clinical findings by disease status. FINDINGS: Our analytical cohort included 991 reported Ebola virus disease survivors and 2688 close contacts. The median time from acute Ebola virus disease onset to baseline was 317 days (IQR 271-366). Of 222 seropositive contacts, 115 had pauci-symptomatic or asymptomatic Ebola virus infection and 107 had unrecognised Ebola virus disease. At baseline, prevalent findings of joint pain, memory loss, muscle pain, and fatigue were lowest among those with pauci-symptomatic or asymptomatic infection or no infection, higher among contacts with unrecognised Ebola virus disease, and highest in reported survivors of Ebola virus disease. Joint pain was the most prevalent finding, and was reported in 434 (18%) of 2466 individuals with no infection, 14 (12%) of 115 with pauci-symptomatic or asymptomatic infection, 31 (29%) of 107 with unrecognised Ebola virus disease, and 476 (48%) of 991 with reported Ebola virus disease. In adjusted analyses, this pattern remained for joint pain and memory loss. Survivors had an increased odds of joint pain compared with unrecognised Ebola virus disease contacts (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2·13, 95% CI 1·34-3·39); unrecognised Ebola virus disease contacts had an increased odds of joint pain compared with those with pauci-symptomatic or asymptomatic infection and uninfected contacts (adjusted OR 1·89, 95% CI 1·21-2·97). The adjusted odds of memory loss was more than four-times higher among survivors than among unrecognised Ebola virus disease contacts (adjusted OR 4·47, 95% CI 2·41-8·30) and two-times higher among unrecognised Ebola virus disease contacts than in those with pauci-symptomatic or asymptomatic infection and uninfected contacts (adjusted OR 2·05, 95% CI 1·10-3·84). By 12 months, prevalent findings had decreased in the three infected groups. INTERPRETATION: Our findings provide evidence of post-Ebola virus disease clinical sequelae among contacts with unrecognised Ebola virus disease but not in people with pauci-symptomatic or asymptomatic Ebola virus infection. FUNDING: National Cancer Institute and National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases of the National Institutes of Health.


Subject(s)
Ebolavirus , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Arthralgia/epidemiology , Asymptomatic Infections/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Disease Progression , Fatigue/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/complications , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Longitudinal Studies , Memory Disorders/complications
9.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 22(1): 684, 2022 May 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1896346

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic left countries to rapidly implement diverse and stringent public health measures without recourse to mitigate its effect on the sustenance of routine healthcare services. This study described routine health service disruption and restoration strategies at 6 months into the epidemic in Liberia. METHODS: Liberia, with 15 counties, has 839 health facilities, with one-third in Montserrado County. A cross-sectional study using a mixed approach - quantitative and qualitative research with concurrent triangulation was conducted using a structured guide for group discussions among key health workers at 42 secondary and most patronized health facilities in 14 counties and 7 Montserrado districts. Additionally, routine health data between January and June 2019 and 2020 were extracted from the source documents to the electronic checklist. We performed a descriptive analysis of quantitative data and plotted the line graph of the relative percentage change. Transcribed audio recording notes were synthesized using ATLAS ti for content analysis to identify the themes and subthemes in line with the study objectives and excerpts presented in the results. RESULTS: Liberia declared COVID-19 outbreak on March 16, 2020. From conducted interviews at 41 health facilities, 80% reported disruption in routine health services. From January to June 2020, scheduled routine immunization outreaches conducted decreased by 47%. Using a relative percentage change, outpatient attendance decreased by 32% in May, inpatient admission by 30% in April, malaria diagnosis and treatment by 40% in April, and routine antenatal obstetric care by 28% in April. The fear of contacting COVID-19 infection, redeployment of healthcare workers to COVID-19 response, restriction of movement due to lockdown, inadequate or lack of PPE for healthcare workers, lack of drugs and vaccine supplies for clients, and partial closure of routine healthcare services were common perceived reasons for disruptions. Massive community health education and strict compliance with COVID-19 nonpharmacological measures were some of the health facility recovery strategies. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 outbreak in Liberia caused a disruption in routine healthcare services, and strategies to redirect the restoration of routine healthcare services were implemented. During epidemics or global health emergencies, countries should sustain routine health services and plan for them.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiology , Communicable Disease Control , Cross-Sectional Studies , Delivery of Health Care , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Female , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Pandemics/prevention & control , Pregnancy , Vaccination
10.
Inquiry ; 59: 469580221092830, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1832927

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic has increased the suffering of persons with chronic health conditions due to the increased demand for healthcare services in the pandemic. Globally, the COVID-19 pandemic has become a key determinant of how health systems function, with most existing health conditions being given less attention. This study focused on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on persons with chronic diseases in four Anglophone West African countries (Ghana, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone) using in-depth interviews of a qualitative method to collect data from key stakeholders in chronic disease issues. The finding shows that COVID-19 caused fear, anxiety, and affected planned health delivery and resource location to interventions designed for chronic disease patients. The study also suggested training, improved technology in health delivery, increased resource location, and factoring persons with chronic health conditions into emergency health decision-making to mitigate the effects of COVID-19 and other future pandemics on persons with chronic health conditions.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Disease Outbreaks , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Pandemics , Qualitative Research
11.
Acta Trop ; 231: 106437, 2022 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1777304

ABSTRACT

We assessed the impact of three annual vs five semiannual rounds of mass drug administration (MDA) with ivermectin plus albendazole followed by praziquantel for the control or elimination of lymphatic filariasis (LF), onchocerciasis, soil-transmitted helminth (STH) infections and schistosomiasis in Lofa County, Liberia. The study started in 2012 and was interrupted in 2014 during the Ebola virus outbreak. Repeated cross-sectional surveys were conducted in individuals 5 years and older to measure infection markers. Wuchereria bancrofti antigenemia prevalences decreased from 12.5 to 1.2% (90% reduction) and from 13.6 to 4.2% (69% reduction) one year after three rounds of annual or five rounds of semiannual MDA, respectively. Mixed effects logistic regression models showed decreases in odds of antigenemia positivity were 91 and 74% at that time in the annual and semiannual treatment zones, respectively (p < 0.001). Semiannual MDA was slightly more effective for reducing Onchocerca volvulus microfiladermia prevalence and at follow-up 3 were 74% (from 14.4 to 3.7%) and 83% (from 23.6 to 4.5%) in the annual and semiannual treatment zones, respectively. Both treatment schedules had similar beneficial effects on hookworm prevalence. Thus, annual and semiannual MDA with ivermectin and albendazole had similar beneficial impacts on LF, onchocerciasis, and STH in this setting. In contrast, MDA with praziquantel had little impact on hyperendemic Schistosoma mansoni in the study area. Results from a long-term follow-up survey showed that improvements in infection parameters were sustained by routine annual MDA provided by the Liberian Ministry of Health after our study endpoint.


Subject(s)
Elephantiasis, Filarial , Helminthiasis , Onchocerciasis , Albendazole/pharmacology , Albendazole/therapeutic use , Animals , Cross-Sectional Studies , Elephantiasis, Filarial/drug therapy , Elephantiasis, Filarial/epidemiology , Helminthiasis/drug therapy , Helminthiasis/epidemiology , Humans , Ivermectin/pharmacology , Ivermectin/therapeutic use , Liberia/epidemiology , Mass Drug Administration/methods , Onchocerciasis/drug therapy , Onchocerciasis/epidemiology , Praziquantel/pharmacology , Praziquantel/therapeutic use , Prevalence , Soil , Wuchereria bancrofti
12.
Bull World Health Organ ; 100(2): 115-126C, 2022 Feb 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1760156

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine changes in vaccination of children younger than 1 year during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic (March 2020-August 2021) in Haiti, Lesotho, Liberia and Malawi. METHODS: We used data from health management information systems on vaccination of children aged 12 months or younger in districts supported by Partners In Health. We used data from January 2016 to February 2020 and a linear model with negative binomial distribution to estimate the expected immunization counts for March 2020-August 2021 with 95% prediction intervals, assuming no pandemic. We compared these expected levels with observed values and estimated the immunization deficits or excesses during the pandemic months. FINDINGS: Baseline vaccination counts varied substantially by country, with Lesotho having the lowest count and Haiti the highest. We observed declines in vaccination administration early in the COVID-19 pandemic in Haiti, Lesotho and Liberia. Continued declines largely corresponded to high rates of COVID-19 infection and discrete stock-outs. By August 2021, vaccination levels had returned to close to or above expected levels in Haiti, Liberia and Lesotho; in Malawi levels remained below expected. CONCLUSION: Patterns of childhood immunization coverage varied by country over the course of the pandemic, with significantly lower than expected vaccination levels seen in one country during subsequent COVID-19 waves. Governments and health-care stakeholders should monitor vaccine coverage closely and consider interventions, such as community outreach, to avoid or combat the disruptions in childhood vaccination.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Child , Haiti/epidemiology , Humans , Immunization , Immunization Programs , Infant , Lesotho/epidemiology , Liberia/epidemiology , Malawi/epidemiology , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Vaccination
13.
PLoS One ; 17(3): e0265768, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1759961

ABSTRACT

COVID-19 remains a serious disruption to human health, social, and economic existence. Reinfection with the virus intensifies fears and raises more questions among countries, with few documented reports. This study investigated cases of COVID-19 reinfection using patients' laboratory test results between March 2020 and July 2021 in Liberia. Data obtained from Liberia's Ministry of Health COVID-19 surveillance was analyzed in Excel 365 and ArcGIS Pro 2.8.2. Results showed that with a median interval of 200 days (Range: 99-415), 13 out of 5,459 cases were identified and characterized as reinfection in three counties during the country's third wave of the outbreak. Eighty-six percent of the COVID-19 reinfection cases occurred in Montserrado County within high clusters, which accounted for over 80% of the randomly distributed cases in Liberia. More cases of reinfection occurred among international travelers within populations with high community transmissions. This study suggests the need for continued public education and surveillance to encourage longer-term COVID-19 preventive practices even after recovery.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , COVID-19/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Reinfection
14.
Epidemics ; 37: 100529, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1525785

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Long-term suppression of SARS-CoV-2 transmission will involve strategies that recognize the heterogeneous capacity of communities to undertake public health recommendations. We highlight the epidemiological impact of barriers to adoption and the potential role of community-led coordination of support for cases and high-risk contacts in urban slums. METHODS: A compartmental model representing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in urban poor versus less socioeconomically vulnerable subpopulations was developed for Montserrado County, Liberia. Adoption of home-isolation behavior was assumed to be related to the proportion of each subpopulation residing in housing units with multiple rooms and with access to sanitation, water, and food. We evaluated the potential impact of increasing the maximum attainable proportion of adoption among urban poor following the scheduled lifting of the state of emergency. RESULTS: Without intervention, the model estimated higher overall infection burden but fewer severe cases among urban poor versus the less socioeconomically vulnerable population. With self-isolation by mildly symptomatic individuals, median reductions in cumulative infections, severe cases, and maximum daily incidence were 7.6% (IQR: 2.2%-20.9%), 7.0% (2.0%-18.5%), and 9.9% (2.5%-31.4%), respectively, in the urban poor subpopulation and 16.8% (5.5%-29.3%), 15.0% (5.0%-26.4%), and 28.1% (9.3%-47.8%) in the less socioeconomically vulnerable population. An increase in the maximum attainable percentage of behavior adoption by the urban slum subpopulation was associated with median reductions of 19.2% (10.1%-34.0%), 21.1% (13.3%-34.2%), and 26.0% (11.5%-48.9%) relative to the status quo scenario. CONCLUSIONS: Post-lockdown recommendations that prioritize home-isolation by confirmed cases are limited by resource constraints. Investing in community-based initiatives that coordinate support for self-identified cases and their contacts could more effectively suppress COVID-19 in settings with socioeconomic vulnerabilities.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Communicable Disease Control , Epidemiological Models , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Vulnerable Populations
15.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 27(12): 3185-3188, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1496967

ABSTRACT

In June 2021, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) cases surged in Liberia. SARS-CoV-2 sequences from patients hospitalized during March-July 2021 revealed the Delta variant was in Liberia in early March and was dominant in June, irrespective of geography. Mutations and deletions suggest multiple SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant introductions.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Sequence Analysis
16.
Ann Glob Health ; 87(1): 95, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1481115

ABSTRACT

Following civil war and the Ebola epidemic, Liberia's health workforce was devastated, essential health services and primary care were disrupted, and health outcomes for maternal and child mortality were amongst the worst in the world. To reverse these trends, the government of Liberia developed the Health Workforce Program (HWP) Strategy 2015-2021. With the goal of building a resilient and responsive health system to ensure access to essential services and the ability to respond to future crises, this strategy aimed to add 6,000 new professionals to the workforce. In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, we share lessons learned from the program's development and first years of implementation.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Health Workforce , Child , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2
17.
Ann Glob Health ; 87(1): 101, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1478342

ABSTRACT

The 5-year Resilient and Responsive Health Systems (RRHS)-Liberia Initiative, funded by PEPFAR via HRSA, launched in 2017 and was designed to support the implementation of Liberia's National Health Workforce Program as a means to improving HIV-related health outcomes. The COVID-19 pandemic, arrived in Liberia just five years after Ebola and during RRHS-Liberia's fourth year, impacted educational programs and threatened the project's continued work. This paper presents the challenges that the COVID-19 pandemic posed to the RRHS partners, as well as adaptations they made to maintain progress towards project goals: 1) contributing to Liberia's 95-95-95 HIV targets via direct service delivery, and 2) building a resilient and responsive health workforce in Liberia via instruction and training. Direct health service impacts included decreased patient volumes and understaffing; adaptations included development of and trainings on safety protocols, provision of telehealth services, and community health worker involvement. Instruction and training impacts included suspension of in-person teaching and learning; adaptations included utilization of multiple online learning and virtual conferencing tools, and increasing clinical didactics in lieu of bedside mentorship. The RRHS team recommends that these adaptations be continued with significant investment in technology, IT support, and training, as well as close coordination among partner institutions. Ultimately, the RRHS Liberia consortium and its partners made significant strides in response to ensuring ongoing education during the pandemic, an experience that will inform continued service delivery, teaching, and learning in Liberia.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/prevention & control , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2
18.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 16032, 2021 08 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1345577

ABSTRACT

The first human infected with the Covid-19 virus was traced to a seafood market in Wuhan, China. Research shows that there are comparable types of viruses found in different and mutually distant areas. This raises several questions: what if the virus originated in another location? How will future waves of epidemics behave if they originate from different locations with a smaller/larger population than Wuhan? To explore these questions, we implement an agent-based model within fractal cities. Cities radiate gravitational social attraction based on their Zipfian population. The probability and predictability of contagion events are analyzed by examining fractal dimensions and lacunarity. Results show that weak gravitational forces of small locations help dissipate infections across country quicker if the pathogen had originated from that location. Gravitational forces of large cities help contain infections within them if they are the starting locations for the pathogen. Greater connectedness and symmetry allow for a more predictable epidemic outcome since there are no obstructions to spreading. To test our hypothesis, we implement datasets from two countries, Sierra Leone and Liberia, and two diseases, Ebola and Covid-19, and obtain the same results.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , China/epidemiology , Cities/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Epidemics , Fractals , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Sierra Leone/epidemiology
19.
PLoS One ; 16(7): e0254446, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1304475

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: From the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic, guidance from WHO has promoted social distancing, wearing face masks, frequent hand washing, and staying-at-home as measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19. For many across Africa, compliance can be difficult. The aim of this study was to 1) understand the impact of student's household's ability to comply with COVID-19 mitigation strategies, 2) identify predictors of mitigation strategy compliance, and 3) describe the impact of COVID-19 on household economics, food-security, and mental well-being. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted an email-based survey among current medical and pharmacy students of the University of Liberia College of Health Sciences between July and October 2020. The questionnaire was designed to explore their household's ability to comply with current mitigation strategies, as well as the pandemic´s impact on the student's household's finances and food security. Descriptive statistics were used to delineate demographic characteristics. Logistic regression was used to model factors associated with ability to comply with COVID-19 mitigation strategies, as well as participant's food security. RESULTS: 113 persons responded to the questionnaire. Seventy-six (67∙3%) reported income losses as a result of the pandemic, with 93 (82∙3%) reporting being "somewhat" or "very worried" about their households' finances. Seventy-seven (68∙1%) participants reported food stocks that were sufficient for one-week or less. Forty (35%) participants reported eating less preferred foods or skipping meals in the past week. Overall, 20 participants (19∙4%) had a positive depression screen. CONCLUSIONS: Study participants showed mixed results in being able to adhere to national COVID-19 mitigation strategies, with household level stressors experienced around finances and food security. Until Liberia has access to vaccinations for most of its citizens, COVID-19 response measures need to provide social protections that address basic needs (shelter, clothing and food), and which specifically targets food insecurity. Preventative interventions for mental health problems must be incorporated into Liberia's response to the pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Family Characteristics , Food Insecurity/economics , Mental Health , Pandemics/economics , SARS-CoV-2 , Surveys and Questionnaires , Adult , COVID-19/economics , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/psychology , Female , Food Security , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Male
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